What Will the Future Be?
Key idea: Weather forecasts provide information
about what may happen in the future.
Activity: Students express their ideas about the
terms forecast and prediction. They also discuss
phrases used in weather forecasts to identify words that indicate some
degree of uncertainty.
Yes, No, Maybe
Key idea: Some events are more likely to happen, and
others are less likely.
Activity: Students sort words used to express the
likelihood of an event happening in the future. They then practice
ranking events on a scale from no chance to a certainty of occurrence.
Probable Outcomes
Key idea: Probability is a measure of the chance
that something will happen.
Activity: Students participate in a demonstration and
an online simulation to learn about probability.
What Will Happen Here?
Key idea: The probability of a specific type of
weather event may depend on where you live.
Activity: Students use their understanding of
probability to identify areas of the country where specific events are
more likely to occur.
You, the Decision Maker
Key idea: Knowing the probability of different
events can help people make decisions.
Activity: Students analyze a scenario of a town that
is at risk for drought. They use their understanding of probability to
decide how the town should solve its problem.